Bold claim: XRP is flashing a repeatable signal that once sparked a massive rally, and this time the question is whether history will rhyme or replay. Here’s a thorough rewrite of the original analysis, keeping all key details, expanding where helpful, and presenting it in a clear, beginner-friendly way while inviting discussion.
XRP's 3D RSI Signals a Reborn Pattern That Fueled a 580% Move Last November—Is History Repeating Itself?
This discussion may include links from sponsors or affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
Recently, XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) has lit up a familiar technical signal on its price charts. The 3-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to a bottom that mirrors the extreme reading seen in late 2024. That exact reading preceded a substantial rally last year. In November 2024, XRP’s 3-day RSI bottomed near 39, after which the price surged from about $0.50 to roughly $3.40—a gain of about 580% by January 2025.
Even now, XRP is printing a comparable 3-day RSI pattern. The latest 3-day candle closed with the RSI crossing above its signal line, forming the same bullish structure that preceded the November 2024 breakout. Could history be repeating again here?
What the 3-Day RSI Tells Us
The 3-day RSI is computed using price data from a three-day window, which helps filter out day-to-day price noise. The RSI runs on a 0–100 scale, with readings under 30 typically indicating oversold conditions (implying bearish selling pressure may be exhausted) and readings above 70 suggesting overbought conditions (where buyers might be overenthusiastic).
In essence, the RSI measures how quickly and strongly prices move. When it hits extreme values, it highlights potential turning points: oversold conditions can precede a sharp bounce as selling pressure fades and buyers step in; overbought conditions can hint at a pullback.
Current RSI Setup Compared to November 2024
At present, XRP’s 3-day RSI has fallen to around 39, the lowest level seen since November 2024. In that prior instance, XRP rose roughly 580% from about $0.50 to $3.40 by January 2025.
Analysts see a striking similarity between the current setup and last year’s pattern. The RSI signal has shown up across multiple timeframes—appearing in April, June, and November 2024—and each occurrence coincided with a strong rally. The ongoing resemblance between past crossover moments and today’s signal strengthens the case that a significant upside move could be on the table again.
Five Key Technical Indicators Suggest a Bullish Tilt
Several technical signals on XRP’s price chart are flashing positive signs. Here are the main patterns traders are watching:
- 3-Day RSI at Multi-Month Lows XRP’s 3-day RSI has dropped near 39, echoing its low that historically preceded sharp rallies. When the 3-day RSI hit this level last year, XRP reversed into a powerful uptrend. With the RSI near those rare lows again, many expect a relief rally to unfold.
- Recurring 3-Day RSI Bullish Crossover A notable breakout pattern has emerged on the 3-day chart. In early December 2025, XRP closed a 3-day candle above key resistance while the RSI crossed above its moving average. This exact combination also occurred in November 2024, April 2025, and June 2025—each time signaling a strong upward move. Traders treat these sustained RSI crossovers as high-probability bullish signals when they accompany a close above important levels.
- Weekly RSI Golden Cross On the weekly chart, a rare RSI golden cross has formed: the 14-week RSI rising above the 34-week moving average. This cross first appeared on November 4, 2024, shortly before XRP surged more than 500% into early 2025. The new weekly cross, together with a breakout above a long-term resistance trendline, is viewed by many analysts as a robust long-term bullish indicator. If history repeats, this momentum shift could push XRP toward multi-dollar territory.
- Bullish Chart Patterns: Double Bottom with Divergence Looking at longer timeframes, XRP shows a classic bullish setup: a double-bottom formation accompanied by hidden bullish divergence on the weekly chart. The price forms two similar lows while the RSI makes higher lows. This misalignment—price making two lows while momentum improves—often precedes a breakout. One analyst even suggests this pattern could drive XRP toward the $4.50–$5 range, especially when combined with other bullish signals.
- Volatility Breakout Squeeze XRP has spent roughly 32 weeks in a consolidation phase, with volatility compressing notably. The Bollinger Bands are as tight as they’ve been in eight months. A volatility squeeze like this typically precedes a sharp move in whichever direction momentum and volume push it. With multiple bullish signals lining up, a surge in volume or momentum could rapidly propel XRP beyond the current range. The daily chart also shows a bullish MACD cross, and with strong support around $2.00–$2.20, the setup favors an upside breakout.
Price Scenarios for XRP Into Late 2025 and Early 2026
Even with a broadly constructive technical backdrop, multiple paths are possible for XRP’s price into 2026. Here are three plausible scenarios:
- Bullish Path If XRP breaks decisively above the January 2025 high around $3.33, the next targets could be $5.85 (the 261.8% Fibonacci extension). With favorable conditions—such as continued ETF demand, growing institutional adoption, and a favorable macro environment—XRP could reach mid- to high-single digits by early 2026, with some projections even suggesting the possibility of approaching $8 or higher, and perhaps testing $15 under extreme bullish conditions.
- Base Case A more modest scenario envisions XRP trading within a range, gradually creeping higher. The price might hover between roughly $2 and $4 through late 2025, with a steady push toward $2.70–$3.30 as resistance levels get tested. If broader crypto markets rally, XRP could push into the low single digits without a dramatic breakout.
- Bearish Path If the bullish momentum falters—perhaps due to negative policy developments in the U.S. or a broader crypto market correction—XRP could retreat toward last year’s lows around $1.60–$2.00. A break below the $2 level would open a path to the mid-$1s, with the prior bullish signals potentially turning into false breakouts and requiring a fresh setup before another rally attempt.
Bottom line: the charts show a confluence of bullish signals that echo patterns seen during XRP’s most dramatic rallies. Whether this time mirrors the last major burst or diverges due to shifting macro and policy factors remains to be seen. The coming weeks could prove pivotal as technical indicators, fundamental developments, and overall market sentiment interact.
What do you think? Do these RSI patterns reflect a genuine cyclical rhythm in XRP’s price, or are we witnessing a series of similar setups that don’t guarantee the same outcome? Share your take in the comments—and consider what scenarios you’d prioritize if you were building a trading plan around XRP right now.
